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History is repeating itself. While the times are different and the names have changed, the underlying circumstances and basic fundamentals remain the same. The Crash of ’29, The Great Depression, plunging commodity prices, currency wars, trade wars, world war. Now, four score and six years later: The Panic of ’08, The Great Recession, plunging commodity prices, …

The Expo Milano 2015, costing a reported 12.5 billion euros and plagued by charges of corruption and waste… is a waste. Besides the money spent on highways, metro and infrastructure improvements, the expo, which we visited several weeks …
Following China’s yuan devaluation, headlines around the world screamed “surprise.” China’s Global Times wrote, “The People’s Bank of China surprisingly devalued the Chinese yuan by nearly 2 percent against the US dollar on Tuesday.” “FOREX-Yuan in biggest fall since 1994 after surprise devaluation,” Reuters. “Dow Jones Industrial Average Plunges 200 Points After China's Surprise Yuan Devaluation,” International Business Times. “Surprise?” Not to the Trends Research Institute. On Friday, July 24, China’s State Council telegraphed the …
Avg rating 5.0
The Bloomberg Commodity Index is at a 13-year low. Last month, the S&P GSCI total Return index, which tracks a basket of commodities, fell 14 percent. That was its worst decline since November 2008. Twenty-three of the 24 index components tracked, registered losses for July. The word on Wall Street is that commodity prices are …
Avg rating 5.0
By any measure, the Chinese equity markets are in turmoil. The Shanghai Index, up 150 percent in a year and down some 30 percent since mid-June, was hit hard again Monday, losing another 8.5 percent — its second-biggest fall in its …
Avg rating 5.0
Gold prices have been on a long downward slide since peaking at $1921.50 per ounce in September 2011. But this past Monday’s price plunge was different. With the Japanese markets closed for a holiday and long before the European and United States markets were open, some 33 tons of gold were sold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange in ...
Avg rating 4.0
KINGSTON, NY, 15 JULY 2015—Go back to 1964 when America was drafting all eligible young men to fight the Vietnam War. Do you remember why America launched the war in which some 60,000 US troops and 3 million-plus Vietnamese would ...
Imagine the Dow plummeting some 30 percent in just one month. In English, this would be called a “crash.” In China, with The Shanghai Composite Index down over 30 percent and shedding some $3.5 trillion in asset value in less than a month, it’s called a “correction.” Dominated by unsophisticated retail...
Do you remember the USS Cole, the Navy guided-missile destroyer nearly destroyed in October 2000 by a terrorist bomb that killed 17 sailors and injured 39 while refueling in the Yemeni port of Aden? I remember it well for two reasons. In the Trends Journal and Trends 2000 (Warner Books, 1997) I had forecast the new …
We at the Trends Research Institute are political atheists. “Suppose you were an idiot, and suppose you were a member of Congress; but I repeat myself,” observed Mark Twain. Neither idiots nor members of Congress, while believers in governance and the Constitution, we neither follow nor support …
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